Mike Igini, a former Independent National Electoral Commission’s Resident Electoral Commissioner, has warned that many members of the National Assembly may struggle to retain their seats in 2027 if lawmakers fail to guarantee mandatory, real-time electronic transmission of polling unit results in the Electoral Act.
Igini asserted in a statement titled ‘Proviso to Real-Time E-Transmission of Polling Unit Results: Why a Majority of Legislators May Not Return in 2027.’
He urged federal lawmakers to learn from past electoral cycles, arguing that unresolved gaps in the legal framework had historically undermined incumbents.
“As the National Assembly convenes to reconcile the divergent versions of the Electoral Act Amendment Bill, particularly with regard to the unequivocal demand by the Nigerian populace for mandatory electronic transmission of election results directly from polling units to the INEC Result Viewing Portal (IReV).
“I urge Honourable and Distinguished Senators to heed the salutary lessons from the misfortunes that befell their predecessors,” Igini stated.
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He argued that earlier Assemblies failed to address structural weaknesses that later worked against many legislators.
“Those earlier Assemblies, for reasons of convenience and party loyalty, refused to address well-documented election rigging vulnerabilities in our electoral laws, like the very proviso now introduced by the Senate, to qualify direct electronic transmission.
“Such lacunae were exploited to subvert polling-unit outcomes during their tenure by those who denied them re-election party tickets, rendering them victims of the very defects they declined to remedy or introduce to the Act,” he said.
According to Igini, legislators who lost party backing were often unable to defend their mandates despite local support.
“A majority of incumbent legislators who were denied re-nomination tickets by party governors and principal officers of their parties, even when they secured alternative platforms thereafter, were ultimately defeated through manipulation of polling unit results during collation processes, despite robust grassroots support they legitimately obtained in their constituencies and won at polling units,” he added.
He warned that members of the current National Assembly risk facing similar political consequences if ambiguities remain.
“The 10th Assembly now stands perilously close to replicating this lamentable pattern. Those Members not favoured or not in the good books of their respective State Governors or party leaders will foreseeably be denied tickets and, given the prospects of an unprotected or unsecured electronic transmission of polling unit results, will find it exceedingly difficult to translate constituency endorsement, however strong they may be, into electoral victory,” Igini said.
He maintained that public demand for real-time electronic transmission was rooted in the need to prevent result alteration.
“Nigerians have insistently demanded real-time electronic transmission from polling units to IReV, precisely to forestall post-polling alterations at ward or local government collation centres. Publicly viewable results serve as deterrence and would render such tampering manifest and actionable,” he stated.
Igini described the persistent turnover rates in the National Assembly as evidence of systemic electoral vulnerabilities.
