NiMet forecasts drier weather in October as rainy season winds down across Nigeria

Favour Okpale
3 Min Read

…longer sunshine hours, hotter days expected

The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) has released its October 2025 weather outlook, predicting the gradual cessation of rainfall across the country, particularly in the northern region, and a steady transition to drier, hotter conditions.

According to NiMet, rainfall cessation will begin from the extreme north and progress southward, bringing clearer skies, longer sunshine hours, and rising temperatures. By mid-to-late October, northern states such as Sokoto, Borno, and Adamawa are expected to experience increasingly dry, sunny, and slightly hazy conditions.

In central states, including Kaduna, Plateau, Niger, and the Federal Capital Territory, intermittent rainfall may persist in the early part of the month, before gradually giving way to clearer skies and drier weather.

For southern Nigeria, NiMet projects near-normal rainfall in about 45 per cent of locations and below-normal rainfall in 35 percent of areas already experiencing prolonged dry spells. Despite the expected reduction in rainfall, humidity levels will remain high in the region, contributing to warmer and more uncomfortable conditions.

Temperature forecasts for October show daytime highs ranging between 30°C and 32°C, while nighttime lows are expected between 20°C and 23°C. Humidity will be elevated in the south but moderate in central and northern regions.

“Temperature & Humidity Outlook
Daytime Highs: 30°C – 32°C
Nighttime Lows: 20°C – 23°C
Humidity: Elevated in the South; moderate in Central and Northern regions.”

NiMet also issued advisories for key sectors. Farmers in the north have been encouraged to commence post-rainy season activities, while those in central and southern regions are advised to monitor irregular rainfall patterns. Health authorities have been urged to prepare for possible heat-related illnesses, while transport and aviation operators are advised to stay alert to erratic weather conditions and liaise with NiMet for accurate updates.

“Advisories; Farmers (North): Begin post-rainy season activities.

Farmers (Central/South): Monitor for irregular rainfall.

Health Authorities: Prepare for possible heat-related health issues.

Transport/Aviation: Expect erratic weather; liaise with NiMet for accurate forecasts.

General Public: Stay alert to flash floods, strong winds, and lightning. Follow NiMet updates,”

The agency further cautioned the general public to remain vigilant against flash floods, strong winds, and lightning, stressing the importance of following its periodic advisories and real-time weather updates.

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